This is my investment thesis for Bitcoin over the next two years, and I’d appreciate your feedback on it.

Bitcoin plan: I'd like to buy 3 BTC during the bear market, ideally around $50k, for a total cost of about $150k. My thesis is that one year after the next halving, Bitcoin will likely trade somewhere between $150k and $200k. If that happens, I plan to sell my position for $450k–$600k in about 5–6 years.

IBIT plan: My second strategy involves IBIT. I plan to accumulate 5,000 shares with a DCA around $30. When Bitcoin reaches around $150k, I expect IBIT to be roughly $90. At that point, I would sell the shares for around $450k, plus potentially an additional $30k–$40k from selling in-the-money